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February 2020 Trend Report
Valuations in the US are suggesting extremely low expected returns over the next 10-20 years. By some measures, the US market is demonstrating extreme euphoria. International equities offer potentially better prospects for growth.
The global economy remains in a slowdown, however, we are in the midst of a cyclical upturn. How long it will last and the magnitude remains to be seen.
Market sentiment is positive with international equities and domestic equities positive on a majority of time periods. Domestic and international equities are also outperforming the risk free asset over a majority of time frames.
Global central banks remain accommodative and are expanding balance sheets in support of the global economy. The Fed has ramped up its balance sheet aggressively over the past quarter to support the financial system.